 Probably, it would be accurate to describe what is happening now in the U.S. Congress as a regular Armenian show. Resolutions like the one adopted by the U.S. House of Representatives Committee on Foreign Affairs usually emerge before April 24 every year. Turkey's reaction to an attempt to make it repent for the crime it has not committed is quite predictable. Ankara may react in different ways recalling ambassador and keeping silent in response to questions about the fate of Incirlik base. Because it understands that this is not about the so-called "moral responsibility" for a crime that Turkey in fact has not committed, but the territorial claims.
The Armenian community admits that recognition of the "genocide" is only the first step to be followed by "overcoming its consequence", namely, hand-over of Turkey’s six eastern Anatolia provinces to Armenia. For obvious reasons, Ankara seeks to prevent this.
As a result, Armenian resolutions in the Congress fail to advance further. They have never reached a point which would enable them to take a force. It requires that the resolution was supported by the House of Representatives and the Senate. The date the House of Representatives will consider the resolution 252 has not been fixed yet.
The main point is not distribution of votes as U.S. executive branch oppose the resolution. U.S. Secretary of State Hillary Clinton expressed her position stating that the Congress would not consider this resolution. This means that despite the fact that both Hillary Clinton and Joseph Biden and Barack Obama himself in their "senatorial" years advocated recognition of "genocide", the U.S. is now unlikely to sacrifice the Incirlik base, passage through the straits and key role in the Middle East for the sake of the 1915 events.
Finally, even before the negotiations between Turkey and Armenia became a political factor, the White House and State Department emphasized in every way that the Turkish and Armenian peoples or historians, but not policy-makers and legislators, must decide the 1915 events.
Most remarkable is that Armenian lobbyists themselves understand it and also are perfectly aware that the efforts to achieve recognition of the genocide will fail. But every year before April 24, they dutifully and meticulously work out the money and votes received from the Armenian lobby groups during the election campaign ... and demonstrate that they have not forgotten promises offering a resolution and making statements.
But new notes appeared in a traditional "show about the genocide" in 2010. First of all, this is the first campaign for recognition of "genocide" after the Zurich protocols were signed. Reports about the "road map" emerged prior to the April 24, 2009, but today everything is different. Above all, it is obvious that the "genocide" recognition campaign essentially ruins the Armenian-Turkish dialogue.
In fact, starting negotiations with Armenia, Turkey pursued understandable goals: to get Armenia recognize its borders and protect itself against annual spring headaches over the "Armenian resolutions." In April 2009, it seemed that there was serious "mismatch” of position between the Armenian diaspora, who mainly targeted recognition of the genocide and Armenia, who is aloof with pressing problems. It seemed Yerevan will soon agree to a joint study of 1915 events by historians of the two countries and will recognize borders.
Frankly, the Armenian Constitutional Court decision shattered all these hopes. The fact that parliamentary delegation from Armenia attended the vote in Congress leaves no hopes in this regard. Those in Yerevan demand to open borders while they are reluctant to renounce any of the charges and territorial claims. The U.S. Congress Committee on Foreign Affairs, which supported these claims, simply "smashed" an already agonizing dialogue as well as Turkey’s policy of "zero problems with neighbors".
But much more dangerous is that the Armenian public openly complains that lobbyists, who regularly receive money and votes, failed to achieve recognition of the “genocide" already openly calling to "remember" methods that terrorists of 1970 and 1980s used to let the world know about the "interests of the Armenians". And all this is happening on the backdrop of strengthening "cult of terror" in Armenia which seems to be ready to resort to this "surrogate war" to change the situation in its own favor.
Nurani/Day.Az
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